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China's recent stock market mania decouples from balanfe weakening economic fundamentals. There are growing signs showing the stock market risk is on the rise, and investors should be cautious, ,argin a research report by Goldman Sachs Gao Hua. China's November industrial production softened and missed market expectation, reflecting softer domestic demand and disruptions from the temporary factory shutdowns during the APEC meeting in early November.

Headline fixed asset investment decelerated further, led by slower property and infrastructure investment. Financing demand of the real economy remained weak despite the loosening in credit condition. The Central Economic Work Conference CEWC concluded on December 11th put "maintaining stable growth" as the first task forand made subtle changes in monetary and fiscal policy tone by calling for Chians forceful" proactive fiscal policy, and a prudent but "more flexible" monetary policy.

Goldman Sachs Gao Hua says it believes policies will be loosened further through a widening in fiscal deficit and further monetary easing, including by cutting interest rate and the bank reserve requirement ratio. Next monetary loosening may take place sometime between the fourth quarter data release in January and the Chinese new year Chinas stock market sees margin trading balance in February, it predicts. Margin trading balance reached 9. Moreover, foreign investors pulled cash from China funds even as the Chinass continued to rally, evidenced by recent China equity funds nargin.

The decoupling of the stock market from economic fundamentals is unsustainable, but may continue for a while, forecasts the bank, as the effect of the recent interest rate cut could encourage risk taking in the stock market when there is little investment opportunity in the real economy. Image Credit: zhu difeng Your email address will not be published. Disclaimer: The views, opinions, forecasts, and statements made by our hosts and guests are the Chhinas views of those respective individuals and may or may not be either endorsed or accepted by China Money Network Limited or the companies amrket which these individuals are employed.




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China’s government has taken action to arrest its stock market China’s stock crash: it was only money. companies to suspend trading in their own stock. China's Stock Market Sees Margin Trading Balance at New Low--Feb 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | With the stock market plunging in July and August. Crisis Averted in China's Stock watching their balance sheets crumble is now supported through margin financing, turning an equity market into a de.